With the recent Diageo deal, the UB group has got some much needed cash to reduce its interest costs. But as major group companies continue to struggle with unfathomable debt loads, the only freely flowing commodity is advice!
Issue Date - 30/12/2012
In late 2005, UB Group Chairman Dr.Vijay Mallya had remarked in a media event that people often asked him what link he saw between the liquor and aviation businesses. And his answer was, “They both make you fly!”
Amusing, yes. But that doesn’t go too far when it comes to explaining the synergies between the two businesses. There were definite branding synergies for Kingfisher in aviation, but not operational ones, as is evident in hindsight. In one of his interviews to a leading pink daily, former UB group CFO Ravi Nedungadi also accepted that he had warned Dr.Vijay Mallya that the airline, which he was planning to start, would be a drain on finances. Over the years, despite his best intentions, Nedungadi’s views have proved prophetic beyond imagination.
As on date, Kingfisher Airlines, which was once India’s second largest domestic airline by market share, is standing on a debt pile of $2.5 billion. According to a statement issued by the company, the exposure of various group companies towards Kingfisher Airlines as on March 31, 2012, stood at an equity investment of Rs.21.14 billion, loans and advances of Rs.10.48 billion, other receivables at Rs.2.09 billion and corporate guarantees to banks/aircraft leasors at Rs.89.25 billion. “Before getting into the airline business, they missed the trick that the airlines business is completely different from their other ventures. It requires a continuous flow of funds & also the skill to stay floating in a volatile environment”, affirms an aviation expert from a leading consultancy on condition of anonymity. State Bank of India, the largest lender to the airlines, has already warned that the airline’s promoters should bring in a minimum of $1 billion (about Rs.54 billion) from any source by the end of November.
Add to this the fact that the UB group is already quite stretched financially, and you begin to wonder if Kingfisher’s current plight could have wider ramifications. Recently, the UB group clinched a deal with Diageo, the world’s largest spirit maker, which will allow the latter the option to take its stake in United Spirits Ltd. (USL) to 53.4% for around Rs.111.66 billion; due to which promoter shareholding in USL will fall from 27.8% to 14.9%. USL issued 10% additional preference shares at Rs.1440 per share to Diageo.
Can this injection of around $1.1 billion in funds help script a revival? Before answering that question, we must take a look at USL itself, the group’s flagship company. It is the largest spirits company in the world by volume; selling 122.75 million cases for the fiscal ending March 31, 2012. For Q2, FY 2013, USL posted a standalone topline growth of 24% yoy to post revenues of Rs.22.21 billion, aided by a one time sale worth Rs.3.15 billion of bulk spirit stocks. Adjusted for the same, sales growth stood at 6.4%, which was way below the 8.9% estimate of analysts. PAT for the quarter declined by 73.4% yoy to reach Rs.392.7 million. Furthermore, USL is weighed down by a debt of close to Rs.90 billion with a D/E ratio of 1.9, and is finding it difficult to even access working capital financing. According to a research report from Angel Broking, “USL’s bottom-line is expected to grow at a CAGR of 103.4% over FY 2012-14 due to the lower interest costs on account of substantial reduction in debts post the UBH-Diageo deal.” So the best that can happen is that USL will work with somewhat improved margins and ROI.
Issue Date - 30/12/2012
In late 2005, UB Group Chairman Dr.Vijay Mallya had remarked in a media event that people often asked him what link he saw between the liquor and aviation businesses. And his answer was, “They both make you fly!”
Amusing, yes. But that doesn’t go too far when it comes to explaining the synergies between the two businesses. There were definite branding synergies for Kingfisher in aviation, but not operational ones, as is evident in hindsight. In one of his interviews to a leading pink daily, former UB group CFO Ravi Nedungadi also accepted that he had warned Dr.Vijay Mallya that the airline, which he was planning to start, would be a drain on finances. Over the years, despite his best intentions, Nedungadi’s views have proved prophetic beyond imagination.
As on date, Kingfisher Airlines, which was once India’s second largest domestic airline by market share, is standing on a debt pile of $2.5 billion. According to a statement issued by the company, the exposure of various group companies towards Kingfisher Airlines as on March 31, 2012, stood at an equity investment of Rs.21.14 billion, loans and advances of Rs.10.48 billion, other receivables at Rs.2.09 billion and corporate guarantees to banks/aircraft leasors at Rs.89.25 billion. “Before getting into the airline business, they missed the trick that the airlines business is completely different from their other ventures. It requires a continuous flow of funds & also the skill to stay floating in a volatile environment”, affirms an aviation expert from a leading consultancy on condition of anonymity. State Bank of India, the largest lender to the airlines, has already warned that the airline’s promoters should bring in a minimum of $1 billion (about Rs.54 billion) from any source by the end of November.
Add to this the fact that the UB group is already quite stretched financially, and you begin to wonder if Kingfisher’s current plight could have wider ramifications. Recently, the UB group clinched a deal with Diageo, the world’s largest spirit maker, which will allow the latter the option to take its stake in United Spirits Ltd. (USL) to 53.4% for around Rs.111.66 billion; due to which promoter shareholding in USL will fall from 27.8% to 14.9%. USL issued 10% additional preference shares at Rs.1440 per share to Diageo.
Can this injection of around $1.1 billion in funds help script a revival? Before answering that question, we must take a look at USL itself, the group’s flagship company. It is the largest spirits company in the world by volume; selling 122.75 million cases for the fiscal ending March 31, 2012. For Q2, FY 2013, USL posted a standalone topline growth of 24% yoy to post revenues of Rs.22.21 billion, aided by a one time sale worth Rs.3.15 billion of bulk spirit stocks. Adjusted for the same, sales growth stood at 6.4%, which was way below the 8.9% estimate of analysts. PAT for the quarter declined by 73.4% yoy to reach Rs.392.7 million. Furthermore, USL is weighed down by a debt of close to Rs.90 billion with a D/E ratio of 1.9, and is finding it difficult to even access working capital financing. According to a research report from Angel Broking, “USL’s bottom-line is expected to grow at a CAGR of 103.4% over FY 2012-14 due to the lower interest costs on account of substantial reduction in debts post the UBH-Diageo deal.” So the best that can happen is that USL will work with somewhat improved margins and ROI.
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